Category Archives: Current Events

A bit of sympathy for BP

I can’t help but have some sympathy for the folks at BP just now. They are not the evil empire and despite their poor safety history, say, the recent Texas City refinery explosion, they do in fact rack up a good many safe operating hours doing very hazardous work. They handle and process flammable materials on the gigantic scale.  And, they respond to market pull for petroleum products.

I have been to meetings in their facilities in the UK and discussed new technology platforms that they wanted to bring on stream. I have listen to a few of their scientists describe their technology and marveled at the new things they have found for molecules to do. They are smart, competent, and well meaning people and we should not lose sight of this.

BP helps to provide the petroleum that we use to conduct out busy modern lives.  We gladly consume every bit of their output. In fact, their contribution to the supply picture helps to keep hydrocarbon prices low. The same is true of all the producers.

The now famous spill in the gulf is clearly a bad thing and it happened to them for several reasons.  But consumers have not responded to this in what you might call a philosophical manner. Nobody seems to be jolted into wakefulness by the depth that producers have to drill to find oil or the fact that these guys are resorting to drilling way out on the continental shelf.  We just plug along expecting demanding that they keep producing at the same price.

If the critics of BP can drill better or operate distillation towers or cat crackers better than BP, then they should get off their duffs and do it. Put up or shut up. The chronic condition we are all subject to is the truism that we can do better.  If you think you can be a better driller, then try it. It’s harder than it looks and it doesn’t look easy.

Needlessly invoking clathrates. BP’s underwater ice machine.

In the news reporting on the BP oil spill, there is talk of methane/water forming a special ice composition that defeated the previous attempt to channel oil to the surface.  I think folks are referring to clathrate formation. This ice blocked the flow of petroleum from the concrete structure that was lowered over the well head.

But, here is the deal. Wouldn’t you expect cooling of a compressed gas as it exits the well pipe and into the sea water? Isn’t this just an example of the Joule-Thompson effect?  As the natural gas component of the petroleum discharge exits the pipe, it is going to expand somewhat, even at a one mile depth, and cool the surrounding water. If this occurs in unconfined, open water, the jet of petroleum will entrain water in the flow and be warmed by the continuous flow of heat from the water.

But, if the gas/oil mixture of petroleum is ejected in a confined space that interferes with heat transfer, then one would expect the expansion cooling of the gas phase to predominate and cool the water in the confining space, possibly to the freezing point. Clathrates may be formed, but the simplest explanation is from good old thermodynamics.

BP oil spill. What are the merits of using dispersants?

BP Oil Spill Image, May 4, 2010 (NASA Earth Observatory)

Oil Spill near Mississippi delta. Vegetation, red; Oil, silver. MA 24, 2010. (NASA Earth Observatory photo)

Eventually, BP will find a way to block the discharge of petroleum into the Gulf of Mexico.  And, eventually, the effectiveness of how the relevant parties responded to the incident will be analyzed and findings posted.

I hope that some effort will be put into an analysis of the merits of using dispersants in general and Corexit in particular. What sparks my comment is the finding that considerable subsurface petroleum has been found. This material is evidently close to neutral buoyancy and is drifting with the currents.

Question 1: Is there a connection between the dispersant use and the presence of this subsurface body of petroleum?  

Question 2: What is the desired outcome of dispersant use?  Where did the planners think the petroleum would go?

Question 3: Is there any advantage in encouraging petroleum to remain below the surface, if that is even possible?

At some point, a decision was made to use dispersants on this massive discharge. Is there a scientifically supported rationale for this, or was it palliative treatment intended to mask the surface effects of the release?

Does Corexit really correct it?

According to news sources, BP is allegedly using a dispersant called Corexit EC9527A.  According to the EPA this formulation contains water, propylene glycol, and 2-butoxyethanol, as well as an unspecified confidential additive.

I guess the question is, what purpose does this treatment serve? By dispersing the petroleum, I assume that the effect is to spread a given mass of petroleum into a larger volume of sea water by virtue of producing dispersed globules of oil-phase material. Does the increased surface area result in off-gassing of volatiles and subsequent submergence of the now denser oil phase? Or, will the dispersed petroleum simply drift into larger patches of oily water? If it enables an increased dispersion so that the currents can chaotically distribute the petroleum to a greater range of shorelines, is this treatment of any real benefit? Perhaps it is better in the long run to have a heavier coating on fewer beaches? Less acreage to scrape.

EPA is making noise about BP’s choice of Corexit. Seems to me that butyl cellosolve has been in the market for quite some time. There should be some information on its fate in the watershed. Judging from the map, the oil spill is near the dead zone around the mouth of the Mississippi River. So, until somebody gets some survey data, it’ll be hard to estimate the magnitude of the environmental insult of this event to the open ocean.

I do not understand what government officials were trying to do by saying that they might take over control of this spill. What is the government going to do to a petroleum discharge a mile below the surface? Call the Navy? Or Boots & Coots? As good as these guys may be, they’re land lubbers. 

Let the folks at BP finish the job.

NASA Earth Observatory Photo, May 24, 2010.

Rand, Ron, and Ludwig

Disclaimer: I’m neither an expert on or an enthusiast of orthodox libertarianism. I think it is yet one more narrow utopian social philosophy that a band of economic puritans want to impose on society. To their credit, it is a scholarly economic theory. But it seeks to validate and legitimize the most selfish and materialistic impulses of our primate sensibilities.

I have a comment on the recent public flare up on comments by candidate Rand Paul of Kentucky.

Randal Paul, son of Ron Paul, seems to be very much influenced in his thinking by his father and by Ludwig von Mises. I would characterize father and son as ultra-orthodox libertarians (if only by virtue of their scholarship) along the lines of the Austrian school but lacking the John Birch Society fascist and theocratic elements. I sincerely acknowledge their understanding of economics and history. However, I must differ in regard to their understanding of the non-mathematical aspects of civilization. 

Rand Paul’s recent expression of his views on the civil rights act comes straight from the Austrian view on statism. It is right out of the textbook. The man is not a racist. He just does not approve of the intervention of the state into the affairs of a property owner. I think he would prefer to see market forces solve the problem in the domain of private property.

The problem is that market forces have a substantial element of greed. And greed is what greed does. Social justice is orthogonal to greed forces. American slavery did not end because the market found a way out of it. The slave states were deeply dependent on the economic advantages in labor overhead that slavery provided. The nonmarket forces- government- that are inevitable in civilization intervened and put an end to it.

The impulse to accumulate power is expressed in the market and in government. Power is the ability to allocate resources. The domains of both government and business need to be watched closely because both are subject to the corruption of greed. Both socialism and libertarianism are utopian in their conception. Both tend to fail because adherents must rely on the adoption of their tenets by diverse groups. Both require a kind of homogeneity in thinking that is inherently unstable over large populations. Neither seems willing to accomodate a bell curve of views and behaviors. 

Just read history. You can’t even get large populations to agree on how to enable or even what is meant by the meaning of life, liberty, and the pursuit of happiness.

I fail to understand how people who do not trust big government can somehow trust a business system which can fund methods to override the checks and balances of a natural market. The notion that consumers actually have power through the allocation of their dispersed resources is perhaps partially valid in a village market. It fails in contemporary society because businesses are focused and populations tend to be defocused. 

Advertising works. Consumers are subject to suggestion by advertising influence. Consumers are not perfect, rational economic units. In some ways, we are fish in a barrel.  Businesses can obtain patents or assemble local monopoly and dominate a market in a way that consumers are powerless to respond. Look at how big box stores can move into a local market and dominate. They do provide lower prices, but they also offer a channel for foreign suppliers to cross the border and invade a market for the profit of corporate owners who live elsewhere. They apply instant globalization to local markets that are ill equipped to compete. Economic purists would say that local businesses are unfit in this circumstance.

The proclivity to trend into big-brother influence seems just as certain with business as with government. The purpose of civilization is to buffer the Darwinian forces of nature and make life less brutal and short. Government provides a way to accumulate resources and focus effort on large scale infrastructure and allow access to all. Access to infrastructure facilitates innovation and economic growth and diversity. If you don’t like infrastructure, move to Haiti or Somalia where you’ll be blissfully free of it.

Government can grow to the detriment of all. And, arguably, it is in such a position now. But to abandon this important element of our culture in favor of a more Darwinian approach to everything is a utopian dream that will not come to pass. Libertarians need to develop some pragmatism.

Federal regulations. Death by 1000 cuts.

Tea baggers whose lily white faces flare deep red when discussing government regulations should put down their Hitler signs, unstrap their firearms in the garage, and tune into C-Span. What they will witness is a real time picture of how the Code of Federal Regulations (CFR) got so thick.

The House of Representatives has been calling witnesses from the firms involved with the Deepwater Horizon accident to give testimony before congress.  What is presently occuring is the fact finding phase of what will no doubt turn into a series of bills and enforcement actions. Representatives are interested in whether or not regulations were ignored and what kinds of gaps there may be in the regs.

The BP-Transocean oil spill just off the mouth of the Mississippi River has fouled public fisheries and threatened to leave a splash of hydrocarbon “heavies” on vast stretches of beach and estuaries along the Gulf coast. The economic harm to the public and the material insult to the environment is still evolving.

In all likelihood, statutes relating to oil production at sea will be modified as a result of this incident. Good men perished horribly in the fire and sinking of a drilling vessel which was registered in the Marshall Islands and operated by an “American” company based in Switzerland. Changes in safety requirements, if not implemented by the industry, will certainly be mandated by federal law.

This is how most government regulation seems to accumulate. It is by stimulus and response. A bad event happens or somebody games the system for their own gain and people are harmed. Elected representatives respond by writing statutes that cover the circumstance and anticipate related problems.  Eventually, the new regs will be published in the Federal Review and some agency will be required to promulgate the changes.

Federal law accumulates like rime ice on the leading edge of an airplane wing in a storm.  Eventually the accumulation becomes so onerous that the airplane can no longer fly. It’s like death by a thousand cuts.  Unfortunately, the constitution does not mandate a sunset feature or the periodic review and streamlining of regulations. 

I suppose it is more titillating for teabaggers to imagine a cabal of preening liberals sipping Pinot Grigio and pulling the strings of their liberal agenda. You know, manditory spanish language and gay studies in the elementary schools. But for now, everyone is working on this oil problem.

Deepdoodoo Horizon

It has transpired that Transocean, Ltd., owner of the Deepwater Horizon semisubmersible drilling rig that recently sank off the coast of Lousiana, has petitioned  in federal court to limit the damages relating to the incident to $27 MM in total damages.

According to an interview on NPR today, the company is interested in limiting the payout with the stated goal of maintaining a more orderly court action.  I’m sure they really are interested in a slow and orderly litigation.  They protest that they were required by their insurer to file this petition. Probably true as well.

Only a team of oil industry lawyers under the enchantment of serious groupthink could have come up with this kind of a ploy. Of course, their insurers are keen to limit the payout. Gotta stretch the action out over as long a period as possible and issue as many office actions as possible to try to make the other side bleed out. Gettin’ lawyered up is expensive.

Insurance companies are a major employer of lawyers. Many people are unaware that no small amount of the litigation that consumes our courts is on behalf of insurance companies acting against any deep pocket within reach to recoup their losses.  Had to pay a claim on an industrial accident? Well, surely somebody or their equipment is at fault.

The conservatives would have you believe that the courts are choked with liberals litigatin’ against god fearin’ lumbermen and McDonalds coffee makers. There may well be some truth there. But there is a constant buzz of legal action happening against manufacturers of nearly everything by insurance underwriters anxious to recoup their losses. The insurers do a simple calculation. Is it likely that the award from a suit will exceed the litigation costs? If you have a stable of lawyers on staff, you might be able to keep the costs down.

If I were an equipment maker of anything relating to the drilling string on the Deepwater Horizon, I’d be plenty worried.

The people most outraged are the lawyers who represent the families and those injured by the explosion and fire. If the dollar pool for all settlements is limited, then the fees for the law firms is likewise limited. Sorta takes the fun out of it for all of the litigators.

Adolescent Phillies fan receives Joules from constable

Have you seen the footage of the police officer who tasered some 17 year old  kid who ran onto the ball field at a Phillies game the other day? What kind of world do we live in when cops feel they’re required to electrically stun a kid who stupidly ran onto the field? Why is this a stunnable offense? Welcome to the city of brotherly shove.

It wasn’t a meeting of the United Nations or a drunken brawl at a biker party. It was just a ball game- entertainment for the idle- where a fun lovin’ kid was trying to outrun the baseball authorities. We have become so intolerant of unstructured behavior that we allow our police to partially electrocute citizens.

This is only the latest incident where a law officer seems to use his stun gun when he’s merely inconvenienced. Maybe if Philadelphia had skinnier cops, they could catch more of their suspects rather than having to zap them like livestock.

Naturally, the police chief stated that it appeared that the officer was within department guidelines.  This kind of answer from a chief of police is really disturbing. The fool didn’t have the wits to say it was under study or some other delay tactic.  Yeah, the kid was a bonehead for running onto the field. But when the state feels justified in using this kind of force on some goofy kid, it has gone too far.

Brother Joe

VP Joe Biden was in the building next door today. He handed a large stimulus check to a company that will make power trains for electric vehicles.  Secret Service guys in dark suits and dark glasses have been standing around all day. Local constables of all descriptions had a piece of the security action as well. The motorcade and attending security circus was interesting to watch. There were two identical armored limos, at least a dozen motorcycle coppers with flashing red/blue lights, and an ambulance. I think it would be more sporting if the motorcycle coppers each had a red fez with tassles. It would amuse the child in each of us.

Eyjafjallajökull Volcano

A few decent links-

It has been estimated that the magma source for the Eyjafjallajökull Volcano is greater than 20 km below the surface. 

A great source of information is the Icelandic Met Office. This organization issues daily reports on the status of the volcano.

A local Icelandic company providing  webcam coverage of the volcano is Miles Telecommunications.

Eyjafjallajökull Volcano (Nasa Photo)

The worlds most unpronounceable volcano, Eyjafjallajökull, located under a glacier on the south central edge of Iceland, continues to erupt with fountains of lava and prodigous volumes of dispersed ash clouds.  The NASA image above shows the lava fountains and steam emanating from the volcano. Others have captured excellent photos as well. 

“The Geology and Geodynamics of Iceland” is the title of a paper by Professor Reidar G. Tronnes, presently at the Natural History Museum at the University of Oslo. The Tronnes paper gives an excellent overview of the tectonic circumstances of Iceland and outlines some of the latest thinking on the basis of Icelands seismic and volcanic activity. 

The Icelandic landmass is the result of some very productive vulcanism stemming from a buoyant plume of magma that drives the vulcanism of Iceland. Figure 1 of the Tronnes paper shows the extensive subsurface ridge system extending from Greenland to Scotland. Figure 3 shows how the line of divergence sits in place while spreading of the sea floor and the Iceland plateau occurs on either side of the rift system. The rifting produces swarms of fissures which are coincident with the siting of the volcanos. The Mid-Atlantic ridge cuts across Iceland and assures that this location is a center of seismic and volcanic actitity.

Eruption of Eyjafjallajökull Volcano, Iceland (Photo Credit: Nasa Earth Observatory)

 NASA Earth Observatory link.