Category Archives: Politics

Rove Bails

Interesting overlap of events.  The current issue of the Atlantic has a rather detailed and unflattering account of the “Rove  Presidency”.  This morning, Karl Rove announces his resignation, effective at months end. This bombshell was released by the Wall Street Journal.

Given the nature of the characters, it is hard to believe that a hundred articles like the one in The Atlantic would be enough to compell Rove to resign.  My guess is that he has been calculating a departure for some time.  The endgame of the Bush II presidency is probably not something he wants his name associated with. Rove is all about election “strategery”.  Guiding a battered ship to permanent drydock is not his gig. Rove is a builder, not a custodian.

Rove and his sort are like skittish sea otters. You try to swim up to them and they pop below the surface only to come back up in the distance.  Rove seems to breath politics. The idea that he is retired from such activity is tough to swallow. Rove is not on-air talent. He is the guy running the editing booth off-stage.

Corporate Freeloaders?

Our local area is graced with the presence of a biomedical drug production facility.  The company manufactures important, lifesaving products from which mankind benefits and in doing so, the company makes a handsome profit.  They also have a production facility in a Caribbean Island Territory which also manufactures important products.  I understand that they are a very progressive organization. Friends, family, and colleagues from grad school work at the local plant and at the R&D office in Many Trees, in some coastal state. [Note: the name and location have been cleverly disguised or omitted- Th’ Gaussling]

Meanwhile, there is a constant buzz concerning the possibility of moving the entire mfg operation to this Caribbean paradise where the tax and labor costs are significantly lower.  I have no special inside information  here, I just know that this has been considered.

The situation outline is in no way unique to the particular company I’m thinking of. It is a very common situation.  Company decides to move operations off-shore to continue profit growth of a successful product. Shareholders continue to enjoy good returns on their investment, product pricing is competitive and the company continues to hold on to market share. Everybody’s happy, right?

Back at the corporate HQ, assets are safely nestled in the Unites States of America, under the 24/7 protection of the Army, Navy, Air Force, Marines, and Coast Guard.  Corporate human and capital assets (shareholder assets, really) enjoy the benefits of the vast infrastructure of the USA.  Materials and people move safely and efficiently over land and through the skys of the USA.  The FAA assures air safety and orderly movement in the skies.  The DOT assures motor vehicle safety. State and federal monies provide for highways, bridges, and all of the motorway infrastructure to keep the trucks of raw materials and product moving. 

Federal, state, and local governmental agencies provide reservoirs for water and electricity. Plant process water comes from a pipe put in place by the local water district infrastructure.  Sanitary water treatment is provided by the municipality.  The streets are patrolled by city and county police who are charged with crime prevention.

Corporate scientists who invent the technology that the company profits from so handsomely and the executives who guide product to market were educated within the vast academic/research complex that has made the USA the envy of the world.  Graduate student and post-doctoral stipends in science and engineering are largely funded by some government agency or other.

Corporate researchers have access to enormous volumes of public domain technology and knowledge paid for by NSF and NIH grants. Researchers who were educated at public institutions with public subsidies take their talent and generate treasure for the corporations and the shareholders.

Yet, a great many corporate entities are escaping tax liability by moving manufacturing off-shore.  Corporations whose very existance is owed to their fertile, wealthy, and knowledge rich nation have somehow seen fit to evade paying back into the system so as to perpetuate that very system from which they benefit so handsomely.  Instead, others contribute to sustain it.

The advantage of substantial US infrastructure amounts to a kind of subsidy.  The purpose of this subsidy is to stimulate the formation of wealth generating organizations who can then provide jobs and stability for the economy.  Instead, we find that corporations are tapping US knowledge wealth and eventually using it to subsidize foreign economies. 

There are mathematical justifications for this transfer of manufacturing from the local to the foreign.  More profits flow to the shareholders- the big players and those who hold 401(k) plans.  Growth is sustained and a competitive edge is held.  But is it really? Could it be just the result of poor imagination?

Tom “Nuke ’em” Tancredo (R-CO)

Our very own representative TomTancredo (R-CO) has outlined conditions under which he would retaliate against the Muslim shrines of Mecca and Medina. A terrorist nuclear explosion in the US would be grounds for President Tancredo to authorize release of nuclear weapons against these two Holy Sites.

Now, it stands to reason that if a nuclear explosion occurs in the US, the president has to do something. According to Iowapolitics.com, Tancredo said

“If it is up to me, we are going to explain that an attack on this homeland of that nature would be followed by an attack on the holy sites in Mecca and Medina,” the GOP presidential candidate said. “That is the only thing I can think of that might deter somebody from doing what they would otherwise do. If I am wrong fine, tell me, and I would be happy to do something else. But you had better find a deterrent or you will find an attack. There is no other way around it. There have to be negative consequences for the actions they take. That’s the most negative I can think of.”  

To Tancredo’s credit he did come up with an actual idea – on his own – that if we get nuked by terrorists, we should do something.  The problem with his solution of nuking Muslim shrines is that it would be a localized attack on a delocalized problem. Muslim antipathy towards the US is a political viewpoint; it is a philosophy that justifies their indulgence in one of mankinds most sensuous of opiate pleasures. 

That pleasure is the near universal impulse to throw oneself down prostrate and grovel before the deity.  Muslims of a certain bent (not all of them, mind you) have refined the notion of extreme groveling through the use of explosives. They enthusiastically celebrate this peculiar form of reverence with the pious formalism of martyrdom. For millions of young angry men with no viable economic future, it has an irresistable appeal.

Ascetic leaders like bin Laden are not motivated by the physical plane. Bin Laden is very much a charismatic hero figure who has cast off attachment to the material world. This is a kind of archetype. To the satisfaction of his followers, he lives in caves and walks the covetless path. Bin Laden’s goal is an Islamic Caliphate. A nuclear retalliation against any Muslim state, much less a shrine, will polarize many millions to bin Laden’s cause of Muslim hegemony for centuries to come.   

There is some need deep within the human brain to assume an inferior posture before the deity. It cuts across all societies and religions.  It is seems somehow discordant that the diety who set the spin of galaxies and the organization of DNA in motion curiously requires that humans proclaim their regret for those very attributes that make them simply human.  It is a most peculiar and, I think, biological, proclivity.

It seems to me that the optimal response to an Islamic terrorist nuclear attack on the US can only be this- No nuclear response in kind.  We absorb it and we express our regret that this heinous act was perpetrated on us.  It would be our nuclear restraint that would cause the terrorist movement to stand out before the world as the focus of savagery.

Realistically, could a US president actually do this? It seems doubtful.  The pressure on a sitting president to release a nuclear weapon in response to nuclear attack at home would be enormous.  Our restraint and the cessation of one-sided middle eastern policies would do more to undermine bin Laden and his kind than any fancy weapons system or occupation force. It would be the one weapon that they could not counter.  Consider the examples of Christ, Ghandi, and King.

The extinction of Muslim extremism must come from internal collapse. Muslims themselves must conclude that vile and murderous behaviour is unacceptable and that the religious justification for murder is a misread of their covenant with the deity.  

Extremists amplify their effect with chemical energy- they use explosives.  A small number of terrorists become Robin Hood characters and receive encouragement and recruits from their more passive background of countrymen. You can’t destroy this with airpower and mobile infantry. 

A nuclear retalliation by the US would vitrify a few sandy locations, but it would also politically unify Muslims behind the extremist cause, irrespective of the damage done to the US in the first place. We cannot win by nuclear retalliation. We only facilitate further use of nuclear force.  The concept of Mutually Assured Destruction (MAD) is not valid in the conflict with suicidal terrorists. MAD is a doctrine that is only valid between nation states with armies and the desire to survive.

All of this is not to say that we wouldn’t be pursuing the perpetrators.  But nuclear demolition of Mecca would be counterproductive. Terrorism is a kind of franchise operation.  How do you nuke the 50 or 5000 scattered, clandestine operatives who did the deed? It’s a bug hunt. The destruction of Mecca would only validate core suspicions about us- that we are metaphysically corrupt and maybe bin Laden was right.

A state can’t successfully wage a military shooting war against an idea promulgated by clandestine operators with little to lose. But police investigation over 20 years in concert with intelligent and fair international policies could render the bin Laden characters obsolete. 

Russia Goes Deep

Our Russian friends have apparently “claimed” the seabed under the north pole by planting their specially crafted Deep Sea Flag.  (Is it still a flag when it is underwater or is it just a stick with a wet cloth on it?)  In the grand tradition of empirialist land grabbing, these folks believe that they have staked a claim to the vast untold, untapped mineral riches of the arctic floor. Of course, the Canucks were not impressed-

Peter Mackay, Canada’s minister of foreign affairs, dismissed the voyage to the Arctic floor as “just a show.”

“Look, this isn’t the 15th century,” he said, according to the Web site of Canadian Television. “You can’t go around the world and just plant flags and say ‘We’re claiming this territory.'” 

According to Douglas Birch at Forbes magazine, the flag was planted in the sea floor 2 1/2 miles below the surface on what is called the Arctic Shelf.  [Th’ Gaussling didn’t realize that a shelf could be that deep. Sounds like an abyssal plain to me, but, hey… I’m not in real estate.]  The basis of the claim, Birch reports, is that the region is a part of the Eurasian continental shelf.  Russia’s public claim seems to be based on a kind of geographic tidiness.  But like all big issues today, it is really about resources.

In December 2001, Moscow claimed that the ridge was an extension of the Eurasian continent, and therefore part of Russia’s continental shelf under international law. The U.N. rejected Moscow’s claim, citing a lack of evidence, but Russia is set to resubmit it in 2009. 

The good news is that there won’t be any aboriginals to cruelly displace.  Seems to me that the Palestinians missed another big opportunity here- their sub must have been in the shop.  I would offer the suggestion that they give Putin an office on site there so he can keep an eye on the place.

When can we keep our shoes on?

Check out Atomic Rocket for a tribute to Heinlein and Clarke and a repository of graphics and themes of space opera. Really a fantastic resource for science fiction writers.

Bruce Schneier interviews TSA Administrator Kip Hawley. Sounds like we’ll be taking our shoes off for quite a while. 

Filipino prisoners do the Algorithm March. The Algorithm March at the airport.

National Aphorism Day

Below are a few quotations that patch together is a particular way.  

Here is a great quote lifted from the internet. With any luck it is accurate-

 “They lied to you. The Devil is not the Prince of Matter; the Devil is the arrogance of the spirit, faith without smile, truth that is never seized by doubt. The Devil is grim because he knows where he is going, and, in moving, he always returns whence he came.” (Umberto Eco, The Name of the Rose)

Here is another good one-

“When a government is dependent upon bankers for money, they and not the leaders of the government control the situation, since the hand that gives is above the hand that takes. Money has no motherland; financiers are without patriotism and without decency; their sole object is gain.” (Napoleon Bonaparte)

And then there is this-

“Ask a Soviet engineer to design a pair of shoes and he’ll come up with something that looks like the boxes that the shoes came in; ask him to make something that will massacre Germans, and he turns into Thomas F–king Edison.” (Neal Stephenson, Cryptonomicon)

Neal Stephenson’s book, Cryptonomicon, is quite good though ponderously large.

An American Parliament?

There is an interesting post at the Daily Kos by Mentarch detailing the “Eight Principles of Incompetence“. Now, I’m not sure that this list constitutes a manifesto, guiding light, or even a footnote in a Polysci text of the future.  But the author has cogently reduced to writing some observations that I have struggling to put into words. I tip my hat. 

Much has been said about the growing problem with Cheney.  There is precious little to say about this fascist that is new. Cheney is doing a fine job of self destructing without my input. Mentarch has highlighted many of Cheney’s questionable actions over time with links to www references.  It is hard to escape the conclusion that the electorate is collectively incompetent sometimes.

But I would like to observe that the USA might have been well served by a parliamentary form of government, especially in this present troubled stretch of history. I think there are merits to a system that can vote out troublesome and destructive executives like Bush-Cheney without having to wait for the election timer to run out.  Impeachment is not the same as a vote to form a new government.  And if ever the USA needed to have a different executives in government, it is now.

In fact, one has to answer the question of why parliamentary systems proliferated during the 20th century while the American model as set forth by the US Constitution remains largely limited to the USA.  Why hasn’t our system been more closely copied? Could there be a better way?

The US needs a president that is less showhorse and more workhorse. We need administrators who can manage the executive branch more effectively. And we need executives who are not beholden to absolute doctrines and are willing to re-examine their fundamental assumptions on occasion.

The Bush-Cheney epoch has had a retrograde effect on American civil liberties, privacy, the freedom of assembly, and America’s credibility as a leading force for the advance of civilization. This damage will take many people a long time to make right. 

Obviously we will not change the structure of government in the next 25 years. We will not be able to yank bad executives out of office midterm for incompetence.  Bad executives will hold on to their office for the duration, enacting laws that benefit subscribers of their particular creed. They’ll have to commit a felony and be shamed into resignation like Nixon. 

The USA needs better checks and balances to protect the republic and its diverse constituency from Trojan Horse carriers of fringe doctrines and monotonic ideologies.  I’d rather have a president who cracks the books once in a while rather than one whose sole intellectual reflex is to whisper to iron-age deities.  I’d prefer to have a president who thinks analytically rather than devotionally.

Joe “Gumby” Lieberman

America’s latest cartoon action hero, US Senator Joe Lieberman, has publically stated that the US should strongly consider a bombing strike against Iran as push back in response to their activities in Iraq.  Lieberman cites an estimate of 200 US soldiers killed owing to direct Iranian involvement.

Obviously Iran is up to trouble in neighboring Iraq.  Iran is a state with powerful ambitions and this troubles a great many other nations. It is also a state that has designs on installing Islamic government in that part of the world.  But … bomb Iran????  Didn’t we try that in Viet Nam and Iraq? What does Foghorn Leghorn Joe Lieberman think the Iranians are going to do the day after a night of bombing? Slap their head in V-8 fashion and sheepishly admit to the error of their ways? Does he think that we will face a uniformed Iranian army with armor and close air support?

Bombing Iran will unleash an epidemic of terrorism and anti-American fervor unlike anything we have seen in the past. And they will bring it to North America. 

Liebermans pronouncement on Face the Nation will be taken by Iranians on the street as further validation of the apocalyptic rantings of Mahmoud Ahmadinejad.  The US has been intervening in Iranian affairs for quite some time.  The US covertly engineered the overthrow of Premier Mohammed Mossadegh in 1953 and helped install Mohammed Reza Shah into power.  The Iranians know this and it has helped to instill considerable skepticism in their attitude toward all US actions, even the genuinely benevolent.

Why Joe “Gumby” Lieberman?  Because I have to believe that someone is moving his ams and legs into the pose he has taken.  Let’s hope that cooler heads prevail and that we exhaust other avenues before we fire any warshots in Persia. 

Rootin’ Tootin’ Putin

We’re approaching full circle from cold war to Perestrioka and collapse of the Soviet Union to re-ignition of cold war fires.  News sources are reporting bluster of the most serious kind issuing from Vlad Putin in response to plans by the US to place ballistic missile interceptors in eastern Europe. 

What motivates the Bush II administration to place anti-ballistic missiles and radar near the eastern frontier of Russia is a perceived ballistic missile threat from so-called rogue states.  The reality of ballistic flight is that missiles launched from the region of Iran will fly over southwestern states of the former Soviet Union (FSU).  In order to best detect and intercept such missiles heading for the EU, equipment would optimally be set up along the trajectory.  Within the logic of strategic planning, the site placement seems consistent with the goal. 

What is less than clear is the excuse for our ham fisted diplomacy with Russia.  Yes, obviously Putin is escalating the bluster and the tensions in a manner that is less than rational. But the decision makers in the Bush administration appear to have been asleep during the cold war.  Evidently the Bush administration didn’t consult with Russia in the run-up to missile site selection.  It was felt that as members of the EU, Poland and the Czech Republic were no longer part of the eastern bloc and therefore Russia’s input was irrelevent.  This was a whopper of a blunder.

The predictable result is that Russia is behaving like Russia, and, outwardly at least, the Bush people seemed slow to pick up on this.  Finally, Bush Jr. is getting some on-the-job-training in eastern bloc politics.

The confrontation with Putin and Russia has begun to spin into something that will force Russia to vigorously protect and promote its interests.  Putin is a lame duck and has to make some kind of stand to satisfy the quiet power brokers behind him.  They can’t accept the placement of ABM systems in Poland anymore than we could allow it in Cuba or Alberta. Doesn’t matter if the initial placement consists of “smart rocks”.  Any missile site can be quietly modified quickly.

There has been a disturbing lack of cultural and economic engagement between the United States and the FSU following the dissolution of the CCCP and the communist party.  This is unfortunate.  Western states should have made a more concerted effort to engage the FSU economically and socially.   

For its part, the US has been curiously lacking in interaction with or even simple curiosity in regard to the progress of the FSU states in their difficult period of reconstruction.  But I think that Russia has been characteristically distrustful of western intentions as well.  Historians will ponder this transition period in world political history and wonder how it could be that even though a society got to push the reset button, the best it could come up with was Putin and the best that the other states could muster was benign neglect.

Iranian Homebrew Fission- Fait Accompli? Rev 1.1

Iranian progress towards nuclear fuel processing seems to have everyone twittered. Recently on NPR a guest raised the question as to whether or not Iran has enough reactor capacity to consume the potential output of their nascent uranium enrichment program.  Good question.

The refinement of fissile materials offers hazards that are poorly understood outside the actinide community.  One of them is the “criticality” hazard.  In the US nuclear program, there have been a few criticality events leading to heavy radiation dosages and even death in a few cases, i.e., Louis Slotin.  Slotin’s case is unusual in that he was manipulating a subcritical bomb assembly rather than a uranium solution. A recent example is the criticality event at Tokai-mura.  According to the literature, numerous elements (in addition to beryllium) absorb alpha’s and then emit neutrons.

One wonders if the Iranians have the infrastructure to safely perform this activity.  A nuclear state needs a health physics community, sensitive and accurate radiation detection systems, and the ability to handle hazardous radioactive materials that are chemical hazards as well. Then there is the matter of what to do with high level rad waste.  The US is still struggling with its rad waste inventory generations after the Manhattan project began.  Who knows, maybe NIMBY isn’t an issue in modern Persia.

Nuclear weapons seem so secular for hyperorthodox nations. But these things do capture the fancy of many people- even followers of the worlds major Iron Age religions. Among scientists, the explosive runaway potential was considered not long after it was discovered that nuclear fission released two neutrons per fission.  The human brain seems constructed to find extrema.

I wonder how the Iranians will validate their weapon’s design? I assume their program is not an ab initio project.  No doubt they have culled design information from somewhere (Pakistan?).  Eventually they have to assemble their weapon and tighten the wingnuts on the casing.  But how will they know if it has enough thump?  Will they be able to resist performing a test shot?  Israel, to its credit, has not performed a test of theirs, though I have no doubt that considerable super computer time has been dedicated to validating their design.

How will these sons of Xerxes construct the chain of command for the release of nuclear weapons?  What kind of fail-safe mechanisms will they put into place to safeguard against inadvertant or unauthorized arming and detonation? Even martyrs have to be careful.

Nuclear weapons have their military uses, but they are primarily a political amplifier used by states to project their voice on the world stage.  But what happens when a religion gets hold of nuclear weapons?  Clearly, the Islamic Republic of Iran is interested in more than mere self defense.  They seem compelled to promulgate standards and doctrines given to them in the form of revealed truth.  A nuclear weapon is as much about prestige and credibility as firepower. 

The Iranians are very pragmatic people.  They know that the US can easily rain nuclear destruction on them and then bounce the rubble a few times for good measure.  They’ll use the bulk of the uranium for electrical power generation.  But they’ll be sure to use a part of it for politcal power generation.