Category Archives: Science

Chemical Blogometrics

I see that according to Chemical Blogspace, my Gunning-Fog index has gone up a notch- from Al Gore to Thomas Pynchon.  Oh, good gawd.  Now I have to worry about that as well…?

Forty thousand years ago all you had to worry about was a sabre tooth tiger dropping out of a tree on you, or those nasty Neanderthals up the river raiding your camp, killing your women and raping the men. Today we have secretive organizations applying these odd metrics from the dark recesses of the blogosphere. Who are these people? And, what do they want? 

Actually, what they are doing is quite interesting. It provides good feedback for bloggers. Once we wipe away the tears we can improve our “product”.

All this talk coming from a guy who writes under a pseudonym \;-)

Specification Creep

Back in grad school, when I was a younger and more innocent chemist, I never gave the matter of purity specifications much thought. Well, let me qualify that.  If my Aldrich reagent was 98 % or greater, I was usually happy.  Yeah, there is the matter of water and a few other things, but for the most part specs didn’t pop into my radar very much.  The other cats and dogs in the material usually washed out somewhere along the reaction sequence.

The issue of specifications in the fabulous world of industry, however, is a really big deal. Indeed, for a company that does custom synthesis or is otherwise agreeable to starting up production of a new product, the matter of negotiating specifications is strangely complex.  Customers have expectations of how pure their product should be and the manufacturer, that is, those who are grounded in the bitter reality of chemical processing, may be far less certain as to what constitutes a reasonable specification. This is nothing new or secret.  All other manufacturing industries have the same issue. 

I previously said that the matter was strangely complex.  Before the customer and the manufacturer can agree on a deal, they have to resolve the matter of what is needed vs what is wanted

Here is a case study: the customer initially specifies 99.0 % purity, white crystalline solid, and no greater than 0.2 % residual solvent. And they want it for $100/kg for a metric ton.  Fine, you say, it’s a hundred kilobucks worth of business. We’ll go in the lab and front run a process. This way we’ll be able to give the customer a qualification sample, and just as importantly, get an idea of the process economics.

The chemist does a representative front run and reports the following.  The process produces 68 % isolated yield of off-white powdered solid that has clumps, 1H-NMR shows that it is 98.3 % pure and it has 0.5 % residual solvent.  The product is a first crop and the solvent is a high boiler like toluene. Analysis of the mother liquor shows that there is an additional 21 % of product remaining with the balance of the mass as unidentified colored components. 

This is a node in the decision process for the manufacturer.  From this result, we have to make a business case to go forward or decline and offer a “No Quote”.

The customer has expressed a preference for a pricing set point of $100 per kg for a metric ton.  It is hard to know if this price and volume are just posturing or if they are firm numbers.  More often than not, the customer will decline to disclose an upper price limit.  Remember, the buyer’s job is to get the lowest price and the sellers job is to get the highest profit.  It is common for a buyer to ask for a quote on a volume higher than they intend to order just to see where the price/volume curve flattens.

The first thing to notice is that the first crop fails to meet the specifications all around. Low purity, high residual solvent, off color, and clumps of powdery material instead of free flowing crystalline product. A estimate of the cost of manufacture suggests that the raw material cost is about $38 per kg and the labor and overhead cost is $52 per kg. The first pass doesn’t look good- estimated costs are ~$90/kg for off spec stuff.  Irrespective of the product’s compliance with the spec, if your sample is truly representative it might be worth sending a sample to the customer anyway.  You never know. The customer may recoil in horror or find that it works in their process despite being “off-spec”. 

It is at this point that the sales or business development manager has to make a decision- Are there any insurmountable problems with the front run?  If not, we have to decide if we want to risk R&D time to do process development to tweak the process to give product that meets the spec.  Remember, time = money.

The good news is that the purity is only slightly low, the residual solvent can be pumped down in a vacuum oven, and the clumps can be sieved out. But remember, too much “polishing” will tend to increase labor costs per kg of product. 

The color appearance is another matter.  It might be resolvable within the customers price constraint, or not. The transition from off-white to just white can be a difficult change. Whiteness is surprisingly subjective and dependent on particle size. And, particle sizing can involve a lot of art.  If the product were a $100,000 per kg pharmaceutical, there would be much more motivation to get the color right. Remember, it is only a $100,000 sale. One could easily burn up all of the profit in an prolonged period of process development and pilot plant time before you even sell the first kilogram. 

Product appearance would be a good candidate for negotiations with the customer. Try to get them to give up white for “white to off-white”.

The price is another problem.  It is too low.  It is desirable to have 20 % profit after interest and taxes, just like the pharmaceutical folks report.  A good rule of thumb is that the total manufacturing cost should be approximately 50 % of the price or less.  This is highly variable and subject to the company’s accounting practices.  So, just for arguments sake, let’s say that we need to get the price to equal twice the cost. 

To come in with a reasonable profit, we have to get the manufacturing cost down to $50 per kg.  The raw material costs were calculated at $38 per kg. Raw material costs are the least flexible, so that leaves little room for labor costs at a targeted $50/kg mfg cost.  The good news is that the labor costs are higher than the raw material costs, so at least there is some hope for bringing the total cost in line.  Labor costs can be brought down with processing experience and innovation. The learning curve is real and good plant manager can bring labor costs down over the product lifetime. 

In this circumstance, I would vote that we go forward with the product if we can initially keep the mfg costs at 65 % of the price or lower.  I would also vote that we send a representative sample to the customer for evaluation. In the mean time, we can do a bit of R&D to find a better process. 

Finally, one of the business risks for a manufacturer is the issue of “specification creep”.  Initially, a manufacturer will agree to produce a new product with a particular set of specifications. However, if the customer is simultaneously developing their use of this chemical in their new product while you are developing this chemical process, a gap in specifications might occur.  In other words, the customer might begin to tweak the product specs while you are in the middle of process development. 

The customer will call one day and try to add a specification. They will find that a previously obscure side product will present a big problem for them and they’ll indicate that the project will require higher purity.  Well, this might be a big problem, or not.  If it requires a tighter fractional distillation, assuming you can do it, this will probably add labor costs. If it requires further decolorization or reduction of residual solvent, R&D will be required to validate the changes to your process.  It is actually a big deal.

So, why not just say “NO”?  Well, in all likelihood, you have not been paid yet.  Few customers will pay for development in advance. Those costs have to come out of future sales.  It is a lot like boiling the frog. You just ramp up the temperature imperceptably and the frog never notices that he is being cooked.  The same effect can happen with specification creep.  By being willing to work with the customer you’ll find that at some point it becomes too costly to go forward at the arranged price. 

At this point you have arrived at the hardest part of doing business- the part where you have to say NO to a customer.  Some people can’t do it. Honestly. But if you want to survive, you have to set boundaries. The customer will understand.  This is where good communication skills come in. It is always desirable to give bad new earlier than later.

Teaching College Chemistry in the Internet Age

It has been 10 years since I was an Asst. Prof. of Chemistry.  My jump to the dark side (business) has largely disconnected me from the latest trends in chemical education. Much has changed in regard to information technology.  Students now show up in class with laptop computers and cell phones. They didn’t 10 years ago.

I do have a question in regard to the Internet and how it may add or subtract from use of the literature.   Are students referencing web sites in lab writeups or papers? How does that work? Just what kind of legitimacy does the internet enjoy today as a “reference”?  How has the internet affected how we archive information? 

And just how do you handle the matter of students and their cell phones?  Calls and text messaging could be pretty disruptive to the classroom.

Atlas Experiment at CERN

At the CERN facility in Geneva, Switzerland, a mammoth detector array is being built to detect events resulting from proton-proton collisions.  It is called Atlas.  There is an impressive collection of public outreach web sites to afford some background to the interested viewer.  The Atlas project has produced some swell animation too. 

I think these physicists have done a first-rate job of trying to make their work comprehensible to the public.  I wonder if we chemists have made a comparable effort in our endeavors? But maybe there are not comparable projects in chemistry.  Whereas there are 1800 physicists working on Atlas, where are there comparable numbers working in unison in chemistry?  Answered my own question.

Encounter with Asteroid 2006 VV2

An asteroid said to be approximately 1 mile in diameter will have a near encounter with the Earth at 11 pm Pacific Daylight time today, Saturday, 31 March.  The rock will pass within 3,900,000 kilometers of our planet.  The asteroid is passing south against the backdrop of the constellation Leo this very moment.  It is predicted to be 10th magnitude and will require a 6 inch telescope or greater to see. Its proximity to a nearly full moon will not help the seeing. This NASA JPL link will allow you to generate an ephemeris.  Spaceweather.com has a stereogram of the object passing the galaxy M81.

For tickets to this momentous event, send $20 cash to Gaussling.google.internet. Operators are standing by.

Katzenklavier

There are many amazing but obscure characters in history. One of them is the German Jesuit scholar Athanasius Kircher (1601-1680). Wikipedia has a nice writeup on this guy.  Kircher was one of these intellectually insatiable fellows whose curiosity knew few boundaries.  While chemistry or alchemy was not a mania of his, he did publish works on geology, Egyptology, and music theory. Among many other acomplishments, he was an early proponent of hygienic practices to prevent the spread of infectious disease.

Curiously, Kirchner set forth what must have been an improved version of the Katzenklavier, or a Cat Piano.  This lamentable instrument was described as early as 1549.  Thankfully, he doesn’t appear to have actually built a working model. The cat piano was an apparatus wherein an “octave of cats” were selected by the timbre of their meow. They were thus arranged in a mechanical contrivance that would hammer or pull their tails to elicit a painful, though harmonious, yowl when the “artist” pressed a key. 

Kids, don’t try this at home.  It is an oddment that should remain in the remote past.  Though I am a cat fancier and the thing is obviously cruel, I can’t help but snicker a little at the thought of it. It is just so … Monty Python.

Hu- The Human Element

We’ve all seen the ad on television with it’s folksy music and mosaic of compelling images while the voice-over waxes philosophic about the “Human Element”. It is a very well done piece of public relations art.  The theme is that the practice of chemistry is ultimately about serving people.  I’m inclined to agree, though the ad does gloss over the imbalance between service to the stakeholders and the shareholders.  But that is the general state of affairs with the whole of the corporate world.  We’re all stakeholders, but only a few are actual shareholders.

Few people outside our field associate chemistry with the term “high technology”.  That is commonly reserved for medicine, electronics, and aerospace.  Just look at any news outlet or magazine. If it ain’t happenin’ in space or in the hospital or it doesn’t involve TV or cell phones, it is too boring for words. 

But in fact, chemistry deserves to be in that elite group as well.  We chemists know that the ballyhoo about advances in medicine typically resolve to advances in the chemical sciences.  It’s the same for electronics and even aerospace because they rely heavily on the material sciences. OK, so our chosen field is not the object of admiration. We’re probably better off for it.

It is an understatement to say that the human element is important.  My observation is that resolving issues with the other elements is almost always easier than issues relating to this one element- Hu.  Using it to titrate buy-in, cooperation, or just help often requires the most subtle interactions and the results can be spectacularly non-linear. 

Sometimes Hu is refractory, other times it is pyrophoric.  It can be most agreeable, or not.  I still do not understand it very well.  But I’ll keep trying. 

Yves Rossy and his flying wing

So, there is this Swiss fellow named Ives Rossy who has developed a strap-on wing assembly complete with a small turbine engine.  His flight profile goes like this- He launches from a high wing single engine aircraft (a Pilatus) at altitude.  As he drops, he deploys the folded wingtips and achieves a stable glide. I can’t tell from the video, but I suspect that he starts his engine prior to leaving the plane.  Once he has his glide established he throttles up the engine and begins powered flight.  Clearly he is maintaining level powered flight and even appears to climb.  This is no mere glider. He ends his flight at altitude near the intended touchdown point and deploys a paraglider-type chute and lands by parachute. 

This is nothing short of amazing.  There are other video’s showing different flights and a few details of the wing.  As flying folk know, when you go aviatin’ you are actually flying the wing. Passengers may focus on the fuselage, but the pilot is busy up front making sure the airstream is moving over the wing properly. However, the fuselage is not just a cargo space or place to sit and leer at the stewtrons while munching pretzels.  Significantly, it connects the empannage, or tail assembly to the wing. 

The job of the empannage is to hold the vertical and horizontal stabilizers in place.  The horizontal stabilizer and its articulated control surface called the “elevator” is a concession to an unfortunate aspect of wing behavior.  A “normal” wing (i.e., a Clark Y) is just an oddly shaped truss built to develop a pressure imbalance in an airstream.  This imbalance gives rise to lift which counteracts the force of gravity.  But a normal cross section wing will also develop a pitching moment, or the tendency for the trailing edge to pitch upwards and the leading edge pitches downwards about the center of lift.  The job of the horizontal stabilizer downstream of the wing is to counteract this downward pitching moment. 

One of the critical design features of the flying wing was to counteract this downward pitching behavior.  One way to do it is to shape the trailing edge of the wing upwards to cause the airflow to impart some counteracting downward force on the downstream side of the wing.  So, if you look at the details of Rossy’s wing, you’ll see this upward curving lip on the trailing edge.  He is a clever boy.

My hat is off to this guy. Yves, my next glass of Fat Tire is in your honor!

Isotope Mojo Blues

Near as I can tell, there is some kind of demand in the marketplace for all of the elements from 1 through 92, with the exceptions of Pm, At, and Rn, I suppose. It is hard to gauge the trade in actinides since precious little gets outside the realm of government regulatory frameworks. Clearly there is demand for certain isotopes of Th, U, and Pu.  But the nuclear regulatory people keep a tight reign on that stuff.

I remember a pottery class I took some years back in a nearby town. I was snooping through the pottery stockroom looking for glazes and what did I find? I found a sizeable quantity of Thorium nitrate.  These hapless middle-aged, post-hippy era, meadow muffin starving artisans running the co-op clearly had no idea that they had an actinide a nuclear-age artifact in their midst. Obviously, it had been secured for colored glaze applications.  I warned them about it but was met with the cow-in-the-headlights-look. I call it the “bovine stare”.  So, I brought a GM survey meter the next week and opened up the jar with a few of them standing there. As the clicks ramped up from the beta’s and as I switched the attenuation to keep the needle on scale, I thought I heard the unmistakeable faint slapping sound of multiple sphincters slamming shut.

The first question was “Would I like to have it?”.  Pppffffttttt!  “Hell no!” says I.  Nuclear cooties. Jesus H. Crimony!!  I did a careful survey with the GM counter and found that the surrounding area was clean. The material (early 1960’s vintage by the looks of the label) had hardly been used, so I was confident that contamination was not too bad, if indeed there was any. There may have been alpha emitters but this counter wouldn’t pick them up.  I gave some names of hazardous waste vendors and a stern warning not to drop it or spill it.  That’s the last I heard of it.

I remember a seminar in grad school when a visiting rock star from ETH gave an organic seminar detailing the use of Li-6 in NMR studies.  The fellow lamented in his fastidious German/Swiss accent that it was difficult to get Li-6.  He also said that for a time much of the refined Lithium in the market place was depleted of Li-6.  It would be interesting to hear someone comment on the accuracy of this. 

Purchasing- The Dark Side of Business

All sales people have to deal with purchasing people in some way or other.  In the B2B chemical business, where you never really meet the ultimate end user, sales people can be found to populate two levels.  Non-technical and technical.  Non-technical sales people are, in my experience, relatively scarce in the chemical field.  Yes, you do find people with degrees in business doing chemical sales, but without any technical savvy they are at a distinct disadvantage.  Most of the people in chemical sales tend to be technical types of one stripe or another- engineers, technicians, or chemists.

What has always struck me about business is the dramatic differences in culture and operating policies between companies in a given market.  Some companies make it nearly impossible for sales people to contact employees and other companies seem indifferent.  I have noticed that pharma companies are particularly stringent about employees meeting with sales people.  Of course, this may just be an artifact of my sampling experience.

There is a reason, of course, for a company to make it difficult for sales people to contact its staff.  They want their purchasing “professionals” to be present and/or in control during such encounters.  This is not unreasonable.  Some large pharma houses for instance have contracted other companies to do their purchasing for them.  This being the case, uncontained or off-line purchasing may be redundant, uneconomical, or a breach of contract. 

But the other reason for discouraging staff from meeting with sales people is this- purchasing people are skilled in the art of procurement.  They are familiar with company policies regarding suppliers and negotiation.  And, not insignificantly, they tend to be a bit more refractory to the enchanting ways of sales folk. 

A well run purchasing department is a type of profit center.  Not only are they required to get the cheapest and most stable supplier, but they are also tasked with extracting other concessions as well. Other concessions may include custom shipping & packaging details; custom specifications; an agreement to maintain inventory; special price/volume arrangements; or long term pricing agreements. A good purchasing manager is worth their weight in gold.  Over their career a good procurement staff can save a company vast sums of money and secure strateginc reserves of raw materials for competitive advantage. 

I joke about purchasing as the “dark side” because a good purchasing person can be a really tough sell.  They make sales people work hard for their money but in the end everyone is better off because it makes businesses more resilient and competitive.  They raise the bar and, painful as it may be, in the end we all benefit from excellence in business.