A.I. Meyers Memorial Ceremony

Friday, 22 February, 2008, CSU held a memorial ceremony in honor of Albert Irving Meyers. Past and present chairmen of the Chemistry Department spoke of their recollections of Al Meyers, the man. Al’s family was present and son Hal Meyers spoke in memory of his father. It was a heartfelt and touching ceremony that ended with a photo montage of Al’s life.

Turnout by former group members was fairly light, but most alumni had considerable distances to travel so this isn’t surprising. I was aware of 6 members in attendance. Former chairman Rod Skogerboe was present. Rod was injured and paralyzed shortly after his retirement. He was in good spirits and spoke well of Al.

I am always interested to hear the way people reflect on their post graduate education. People leave the grad school experience with many kinds of feelings about it. Some are positive and some are negative. Some feel self-actualized and others feel injured.  I think that no matter how you feel about AIM and the other “rock stars” who head the chemical academy, you have to admit that AIM had an abundance of charismatic ability in a field of outspoken characters. Al used the strength of his research productivity along with his “gift of gab” to pursuade the department and the university to excel in chemistry.

The academy produces people who go on to become the parish priests, bishops, and the occasional cardinals of chemistry. It is interesting to meet friends who have gone on to become the directors and VP’s of the field. In my experience, the people who have the most buoyancy are the ones who have an upbeat, can-do attitude and can find a way to get things done. The kind of work/quality ethic that Al expected from his crew really is beneficial to those who don this particular suit. You can see it now in the career trajectories of the many alumni out in the world.

Lunar Eclipse 2008

The eclipsed moon finally made itself visible only minutes from totality this evening. Through the gauzy haze the lopsided apparition loomed in the eastern sky. We pointed the 18 ” telescope at it, but with its narrow field of view we could only gaze at part of the moon at a time. With the haze and the low contrast, only washed out moonscape was visible. An eclipsed moon is best witnessed with the naked eye or from binoculars.

We found Mars and Saturn in open patches of the sky. Saturn was sharper than I’ve seen it in while. The rings and planet in sharp relief against the black velvet background. Titan and a few other moons were to be seen as well. 

A line of visitors queue around the dome and down the stairs to see the planets and M42, the Great Nebula of Orion.  We’re lucky this evening. The clouds parted and the wondrous sky was made visible.

IBM, Thy Patent Portfolio Runneth Over

IBM people are prodigous inventors. In 2007 alone, IBM was allowed 3,125 US patents. In the period from 1993 through 2007, IBM has acquired 38,707 US patents.  I can visualize the torrents of office actions flooding out of some pipe from the USPTO into the mailroom at IBM Galactic Headquarters.

Imagine trying to enforce this collection of patents. Crimony! With this many patents- and who knows how few are abandoned- IBM must be involved in litigation almost continuously. Imagine the legions of confident, white-shirted IBM attorneys marching in lockstep, “Think!” banners streaming in the breeze!  It would be fascinating to see how they make these patents actually result in cash flow. Who knows, IBM may have the biggest patent picket fence in the universe?!

Changing Petrochemical Center of Mass

The Middle East (ME) is currently undergoing a dramatic change in petrochemical supply and refining capacity. Multiple projects in several countries are underway that will offer greater capacity of key hydrocarbon feedstocks as well as fuels. 

The current run up in crude oil prices has produced an abundance of cash for oil producing states in the ME.  Acutely aware of the transient nature of their oil reserves, the cash generated has been applied to infrastructure. Social infrastructure as well as industrial infrastructure has been expanded in the ME with facility no doubt eased by the nationalized nature of the petroleum companies. 

In the USA, a run up in crude oil prices has not resulted in a major uptick in refinery capacity, port expansion, or the birth of new universities. Instead, US oil companies have plowed investment into new discovery activity in an attempt to sustain the current rates of consumption. Profits are channeled into CEO salary packages and to shareholders, who, in turn, go to great lengths to shelter their funds from taxes that support US infrastructure.

Saudi crackers alone are expected to add 14m tonnes/year of extra ethylene capacity by 2015. ME market share of PE and PP is expected to double by 2011. So large will the demand for ethane be that there is considerable skepticism that the full potential of the buildup will be realized.

Since ethylene comes from the cracking of ethane, and presently a large share of ethane comes from natural gas, the question arises as to the effect on natural gas prices as ethane scarcity becomes apparent.  Naphtha crackers are part of the answer to the question of supply. The US has (had) abundant natural gas and a corresponding reliance on the extraction and cracking of ethane from this resource. Elsewhere in the world, a large fraction of ethylene comes from naphtha feedstocks.

And so it is that the Saudis are building crackers to bolster their feedstock supplies. The Dow/Siam Cement JV is also addressing their ethylene supply issue with a second naphtha cracker in Map Ta Phut (ICIS, 2007, December 3-16, p 6).

The largest petrochemical complex in the world is under construction at Ras Tanura in the eastern province of Saudi Arabia.  This US$20 Bn project is being developed jointly by Dow and Saudi Aramco and is expected to come onstream in 2012. The goal is to integrate the existing Ras Tanura and Yanbu refineries into a single operation offering petroleum refining and production of value added hydrocarbons like ethylene.  Clearly, the principals have downstream conversion in mind. The project will have the first naphtha cracker in the ME and will offer ethylene cracking and aromatics capacity as well.

According to the article in ICIS, Basell claims that the ME will be the only net PE and PP exporting region by 2011.  And so it was that the petroleum scare in the first decade of the 2000’s financed and expedited the migration of dominance in the polyolefin industry to the Middle East.

Eviction Action on CNN

On CNN this morning I happened to see a story on mortgage defaults in the Atlanta area. As the reporter spoke of the 7,000 evictions scheduled for February in Atlanta, we watched two police officers enter a house with service revolvers drawn.

No doubt there is a backstory to this particular event. All states have extensive statutes covering the resolution of landlord/tenant disputes. The statutes governing lender/mortgagee disputes is certainly full of delays in consideration of due process as well. So, the scene of the State storming into a home- through the agency of the police- is at the end of a procedural chain of events leading to forcible eviction.

But you have to ask the question- Is this heavy handed treatment of mortgagees necessary?  Are the police storming into homes with firearms drawn routinely? Maybe the mortgage lenders should be forced to go into the home and do it themselves? Maybe we should herd a pack of mortgage brokers door-to-door to do the dirty work.  This includes the industry finance geniuses and their pencil-necked B-School professors .

Evicting deadbeats is one thing.  I have done this distasteful job myself sometime back when I was stupid enough to have a rental property. It’s disturbing and ugly at the very best. But to have this finance fiasco end in such a way is a disgrace and the ethical-midgets and business cretins who devised and executed this negligent finance scheme need to see, taste, and smell the trouble they initiated. They should be dragged out of their office suites, tarred and feathered, and run out of the business community, or at least tatooed with a big red I for Imbecile on their foreheads and banned from finance for life. 

The borrowers who signed their names to such instruments should be forced to take a remedial math class where they must demonstrate a knowledge of compound interest. Exponents, people! Exponents!

USA 193

There has been considerable buzz lately that the launch and deployment of USA 193 has somehow gone terribly wrong. Reports say that the package failed to deploy properly and it is presently in a rapidly decaying orbit that will bring it back into the atmosphere for an uncontrolled re-entry.

A credible source from our base in Shangrila tells Th’ Gaussling that something will re-enter the atmosphere soon, but it won’t be USA 193.  A decaying satellite of some sort is coming down and certain parties are anxious to blast it to pieces.  This episode may be just a bit of sleight of hand to confuse intelligence gathering organizations as to what is really up there. A three card Monte, but with rockets.

There may be some real worry about tell-tale bits of apparatus landing in an unfriendly state.  There may be worry about fuel vessels landing intact and providing a toxic hazard at the impact site.  The (methyl)hydrazine in the fuel cell may be frozen and consequently the fuel cell may not absorb heat fast enough in short re-entry time to flash off and disperse the fuel. Re-entry doesn’t char everything to cinders.

A missile intercept with the satellite may be a preventative measure, an exercise for missileers, a counterintelligence exercise, or it may be a signal to a few frisky states out there who doubt our capability and resolve. Let’s hope we’re spared the embarrassment of a miss.

On Marketing Chemicals

If you are a marketing person in the chemical industry, the question of how-to and how-much is never far from your mind.  I’m not talking about selling pesticides or drain cleaner to consumers. I’m referring to B2B chemical sales.  Feedstocks, reagents, catalysts, additives, etc.

Management never likes to pay much for advertising and will always be skeptical of the value of ads. Yet, deep within that black heart most managers know that some advertising is necessary.

Sales to the public is demand that can be fairly easily measured. Sales in the public domain are open and lots of nifty and informative stats and trends can be compiled to help plot marketing strategy.

By contrast, sales of products that are not out in the open, or products that are part of a proprietary process leading to another kind of product are things that are somewhat problematic to understand.  Products that are uncommon or are unique to a few limited circumstances are not products that you necessarily want to promote in the mass media.

If a company makes a bracket that is used to hold a fuel flow sensor on a 1998 Buick, chances are that the product will be useless for just about every other application.  But many components on that same Buick are of a general nature and may be found on many kinds of cars.

In chemical marketing, many products are of a general nature and many are highly specific. The marketing approach for highly specialized products is necessarily more focused than that for chemicals of a more general utility. A specialized product requires that marketing people be like a Dachshund- these dogs were bred to go into burrow hole to pull out the critter that lives in there. Marketing specialty chemicals requires the same sort of proclivity.

Where do I find information about who uses what?  I search patents, SciFinder (to see who is publishing with what materials), Google, and I talk to people about what they are looking for. Purchasing people always have a list of troublesome products. Your company should have a decent customer list to draw upon.

Another approach is to do a patent search starting with a particular company AND a key word. While there is absolutely no assurance that the company is actually practicing the art that they patented, it is possible to collect a list of companies that have used your product at one time.

Finally, there is the Johnny Appleseed approach. You simple plant literature at every fertile site you can find, and you do it several times with multiple media. Brochures, emails, cold calls, websites, conferences, and technical literature.  “Technology Push” is hard work. Especially if the economy has taken a dive. It can take 3 months to 3 years for a potential customer to give you a call when they finally decide to make a query.

The marketing of obscure products is spotty business and hazardous to your wallet if you are on commission. The best circumstance is to have a portfolio of products, or a catalog. If your collection is good enough, something will always be in demand.

Scalia On Torture

2/12/08.  Let me paraphrase what I just heard Justice Antonin Scalia say on NPR. In a replayed BBC interview, he said that he didn’t see anything in the constitution that prohibits the use of torture to get information. On the other hand, he said that the use of torture as punishment would be unconstitutional.

This is the first time I have heard this particular bit of analysis. That is the tack you’d expect him to make. A few colleagues and I had the opportunity to sit and have coffee with Scalia some years ago when he was on our campus. I left the gathering with the impression that he is a very formidable character. Defending a case in front of him would be nerve wracking.

It is worth remembering that the Supreme Court’s job is to deliberate and rule on matters of interpretation of the constitution. I would offer that the comments of a justice of SCOTUS are not to be taken as promulgation of moral authority, but rather as constitutional scholarship.

Highly civilized countries like Switzerland, The Netherlands, or Sweden have surely wrestled with the calculus of this matter. I wonder what they have concluded as to the merits of torture.  Maybe they are less squeemish about it than we are.

Addendum 2/13/08:  If you think about what torture really is, it is hard to come to the conclusion that Scalia is offering.  Interrogation torture is a circumstance wherein a person is detained and put under the requirement to disclose information.   To qualify as torture, as opposed to simple questioning, the detainee must be subject to a negative outcome. I think in the normal use of the term, merely serving time in confinement isn’t ordinarily considered torture. The customary understanding of the term includes negative treatment that produces stress, dread fear, pain and discomfort, or injury. 

You could argue that infliction of negative treatment as a result of detainee non-compliance is a form of punishment.  Infliction of negative treatment in anticipation of non-compliance would be cruelty.  To put it another way, if the infliction of pain and suffering is not a result of non-compliance, then it must be cruelty. If it is a result of non-compliance, then it it must be considered punishment.

I’ll have to disagree with Scalia’s assertion. I cannot escape the conclusion that the application of torture in questioning is either punishment or mere cruelty and therefore unconstitutional.

The notion that our form of “negative treatment” isn’t really torture is fatuous and should be abandoned. If we want to allow our elected government to torture people, then we should amend the constitution in the customary fashion to make allowances for this action. My guess is that most thinking adults will not gladly endorse a constitutional right to torture.